Intrinsiqq
Simply Good Foods Co. logoSimply Good Foods Co.SMPL
$10.67-2.91%
Simply Good Foods Co. logo

Simply Good Foods Co.

SMPL

$10.67

-$0.32 (-2.91%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityUnprofitableGrowthSteady growthCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationN/A
What stands out

10.81% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 5.83%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue grew 9.0%, steady but not accelerating. Margins contracted 4.7pp, which offsets some of the top-line progress.

What deserves caution

Free cash flow declined 25% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened. ROIC dropped from 7.86% to 5.83%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.

Price History

-58.1%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$944M
EPS-$2.17
P/E-4.92
P/FCF7.90
EV/EBITDA-5.34
FCF Yield12.7%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF2.7x
52-Week Range
$9.43$24.96

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$1.39B

▲ +9.0% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

-$199M

▼ -25.6% YoY

Op. Margin

-17.05%

▼ -4.7pp YoY

ROIC

-9.26%

▼ -2.0pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$119M

▼ -24.8% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$148M

▼ -17.3% YoY

Net Debt

$325M

Cash & Equiv.

$124M

5Y CAGR: +12.2%

5Y CAGR: +22.5%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 2 Jul 2026, covering the period ending 30 May 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 10 Jul 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 21 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Aug. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Simply Good Foods (SMPL) overvalued?

Simply Good Foods (SMPL) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $19.40 per share, so at $10.67 the stock looks undervalued (81.8% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Simply Good Foods scores 40/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Simply Good Foods's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $19.40 per share for SMPL, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $14.55. At today's $10.67, that puts the stock about 81.8% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Simply Good Foods a high-quality business?+

Simply Good Foods scores 40 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a -17.1% operating margin and a -9.3% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Simply Good Foods a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. SMPL currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 40/100 on quality (mixed). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Food and Kindred Products

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in SMPL's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.

Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.