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The terms B&G Foods, our, we and us, as used in this report, refer to B&G Foods, Inc. and its wholly owned subsidiaries, except where it is clear that the term refers only to the parent company. Throughout this report, we refer to our fiscal years ended December 30, 2023, December 28, 2024, January 3, 2026 and January 2, 2027 as fiscal 2023, fiscal 2024, fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026, respectively.
$3.65
$0.06 (-1.62%)
Live · 06:12 PM
Operating margin is thin at 5.31%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.
Revenue declined 5.4% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.
Free cash flow declined 32% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened. Net debt of $1.95B represents 27.5x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$1.81B
▼ -5.4% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
-$77M
▲ +82.8% YoY
Op. Margin
2.78%
▲ +14.5pp YoY
ROIC
1.59%
▲ +8.1pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$47M
▼ -31.7% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$72M
▼ -22.5% YoY
Net Debt
$1.99B
Cash & Equiv.
$65M
5Y CAGR: -1.5%
5Y CAGR: -22.6%
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B&G Foods (BGS) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $-14.68 per share, so at $3.65 the stock looks overvalued (502.2% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, B&G Foods scores 18/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 20.8%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $-14.68 per share for BGS, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $-11.01. At today's $3.65, that puts the stock about 502.2% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
B&G Foods scores 18 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 2.8% operating margin and a 1.6% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, B&G Foods pays a regular dividend of about $0.76 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 20.8% at the current price. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For BGS's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. BGS currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 18/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 20.8%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.