Intrinsiqq
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. logoOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.OLLI
$93.18-2.49%
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. logo

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.

OLLI

$93.18

-$2.38 (-2.49%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthAcceleratingCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationFairly valued
What stands out

11.24% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 9.18%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue grew 16.6%, still solid.

What deserves caution

Even for strong businesses, today's 21x P/E means the stock needs to keep delivering. There's no margin of safety if growth disappoints.

Valuation context

20.8x earnings, 24.8x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.

Price History

-24.3%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$5.54B
EPS$4.47
P/E20.85
P/FCF24.79
EV/EBITDA15.14
FCF Yield4.0%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF2.4x
52-Week Range
$61.88$128.62

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$2.79B

▲ +16.6% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$274M

▲ +20.4% YoY

Op. Margin

12.26%

▲ +0.3pp YoY

ROIC

9.83%

▲ +0.6pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$223M

▲ +82.1% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$341M

▲ +30.4% YoY

Net Debt

$538M

Cash & Equiv.

$188M

5Y CAGR: +7.9%

5Y CAGR: -10.1%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 26 Aug 2026, covering the period ending 1 Aug 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 3 Sept 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 16 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Jan. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) overvalued?

At a P/E of 20.8 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 24.8, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $178.15 per share, so at $93.18 the stock looks undervalued (91.2% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings scores 79/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $178.15 per share for OLLI, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $133.61. At today's $93.18, that puts the stock about 91.2% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings a high-quality business?+

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings scores 79 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 12.3% operating margin and a 9.8% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. OLLI currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 79/100 on quality (solid). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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