Modine Manufacturing Company
Motor vehicle parts & accessories company · WI · FY ends Mar · Revenue $3.37B · 10.13% margin · $100M FCF
$148.86
-$5.15 (-3.34%)
EOD Oct 16, 2026
10.76% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 17.79%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.
Revenue grew 23.1%, still solid. Free cash flow declined 18% despite revenue growth, conversion is weakening.
At 56x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. Free cash flow declined 18% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened.
55.5x earnings, 78.9x FCF. The market is pricing in years of above-average growth. If that thesis breaks, downside from multiple compression alone could be 30%+. This is a stock where you're paying for the future, not the present.
Price History
Valuation & Multiples
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$3.37B
▲ +23.1% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$144M
▼ -34.0% YoY
Op. Margin
10.13%
▼ -0.2pp YoY
ROIC
16.39%
▲ +1.4pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$100M
▼ -18.5% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$262M
▲ +16.6% YoY
Net Debt
$578M
Cash & Equiv.
$95M
5Y CAGR: +12.0%
5Y CAGR: -2.1%
Continue Research
SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 24 Jul 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 3 Aug 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, last close as of 16 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Mar. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.
Is Modine Manufacturing (MOD) overvalued?
At a P/E of 55.5 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 78.9, Modine Manufacturing (MOD) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $60.14 per share, so at $148.86 the stock looks overvalued (59.6% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Modine Manufacturing scores 66/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Modine Manufacturing's fair value?+
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $60.14 per share for MOD, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $45.11. At today's $148.86, that puts the stock about 59.6% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Is Modine Manufacturing a high-quality business?+
Modine Manufacturing scores 66 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 10.1% operating margin and a 16.4% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Is Modine Manufacturing a good stock to buy right now?+
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. MOD currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 66/100 on quality (solid). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
Related stocks: Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories
Spot a number that looks wrong?
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.