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Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries ( Allison, we, us or our ) is a global leader in high-performance mobility and work solutions built for the needs of the modern industrial world. The business was founded in 1915 and has been headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana since inception.
$113.60
$1.89 (-1.64%)
EOD Jul 17, 2026
Margins and capital returns are both well above average: 29.24% operating margin, ROIC at 15.80%. Consistent with durable pricing power, though that alone doesn't make it a buy.
Revenue declined 6.7% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.
ROIC dropped from 21.11% to 15.80%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.
17.7x earnings, 15.7x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$3.65B
▼ -6.7% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$543M
▼ -14.8% YoY
Op. Margin
22.63%
▼ -1.5pp YoY
ROIC
13.67%
▼ -5.3pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$609M
▲ +0.5% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$811M
▲ +4.4% YoY
Net Debt
$4.08B
Cash & Equiv.
$311M
5Y CAGR: +7.7%
5Y CAGR: +8.2%
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At a P/E of 17.7 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 15.7, Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $109.62 per share, so at $113.60 the stock looks overvalued (3.5% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Allison Transmission Holdings scores 60/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 1.0%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $109.62 per share for ALSN, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $82.22. At today's $113.60, that puts the stock about 3.5% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Allison Transmission Holdings scores 60 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 22.6% operating margin and a 13.7% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, Allison Transmission Holdings pays a regular dividend of about $1.10 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 1.0% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 16.9% of earnings, so the dividend is amply covered by earnings. Allison Transmission Holdings has grown the dividend at roughly 3.0% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For ALSN's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. ALSN currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 60/100 on quality (solid). It also yields about 1.0%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.