TWFG, Inc.
Who we are We are a leading, high-growth, independent distribution platform for personal and commercial insurance in the U.S. We are pioneers in the insurance industry, developing an agency model built on innovation and experience with what we believe is a more flexible approach than traditional distribution models.
$28.67
+$2.28 (+8.64%)
EOD Oct 22, 2026
14.88% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 37.57%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.
Revenue grew 22.0%, still solid.
At 47x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration.
47.0x earnings, 6.3x FCF. The market is pricing in years of above-average growth. If that thesis breaks, downside from multiple compression alone could be 30%+. This is a stock where you're paying for the future, not the present.
Price History
Valuation & Multiples
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$295M
▲ +22.0% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$3M
▲ +190.1% YoY
Op. Margin
18.26%
▲ +1.2pp YoY
ROIC
63.32%
▲ +7.3pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$60M
▲ +42.6% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$61M
▲ +32.2% YoY
Net Debt
-$66M
Net Cash Position
Cash & Equiv.
$74M
3Y CAGR: +17.3%
3Y CAGR: +27.5%
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SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 3 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, last close as of 22 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.
Is TWFG (TWFG) overvalued?
At a P/E of 47.0 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 6.3, TWFG (TWFG) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $235.09 per share, so at $28.67 the stock looks undervalued (720.0% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, TWFG scores 93/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a high-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 4.2%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is TWFG's fair value?+
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $235.09 per share for TWFG, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $176.32. At today's $28.67, that puts the stock about 720.0% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Is TWFG a high-quality business?+
TWFG scores 93 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a high-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 18.3% operating margin and a 63.3% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Does TWFG (TWFG) pay a dividend, and how much?+
Yes, TWFG pays a regular dividend of about $1.21 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 4.2% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 483.5% of earnings, so the dividend is stretched at this level. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For TWFG's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
Is TWFG a good stock to buy right now?+
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. TWFG currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 93/100 on quality (high-quality). It also yields about 4.2%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
Related stocks: Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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