DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$20.31
Intrinsic $27.09 · 25% MOS
Current price: $74.17
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.6B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $27.09 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $20.31, suggesting the stock is currently 73% overvalued against the $74.17 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.6B
Cash & equivalents
$1.0B
Total debt
$15.7B
Shares outstanding
459M