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The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in Canada.
$17.47
$0.06 (-0.34%)
Live · 05:18 PM
The business is unprofitable at the operating level (-44.35% margin). The thesis depends entirely on whether and when it reaches sustainable profitability.
Revenue grew 14.4%, still solid. Margins contracted 55.8pp, which offsets some of the top-line progress.
Free cash flow declined 389% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened. ROIC dropped from 3.39% to -16.45%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$3.12B
▲ +14.4% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
-$1.65B
▼ -591.8% YoY
Op. Margin
-43.74%
▼ -55.8pp YoY
ROIC
-17.75%
▼ -19.8pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$29M
▼ -389.4% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$422M
▼ -12.3% YoY
Net Debt
$5.24B
Cash & Equiv.
$117M
3Y CAGR: +19.5%
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Six Flags Entertainment (FUN) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $-46.73 per share, so at $17.47 the stock looks overvalued (367.5% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Six Flags Entertainment scores 21/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $-46.73 per share for FUN, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $-35.05. At today's $17.47, that puts the stock about 367.5% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Six Flags Entertainment scores 21 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 7 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a -43.7% operating margin and a -17.8% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. FUN currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 21/100 on quality (lower-quality). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.