/
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$-35.05
Intrinsic $-46.73 · 25% MOS
Current price: $20.72
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $29M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $-46.73 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $-35.05, suggesting the stock is currently 269% overvalued against the $20.72 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$29M
Cash & equivalents
$117M
Total debt
$5.4B
Shares outstanding
101M