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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$-10.90
Intrinsic $-14.53 · 25% MOS
Current price: $8.02
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp (LUCK) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 10.3% for years 1–5 and 5.2% for years 6–10, anchored to 10.3% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $25M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $-14.53 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $-10.90, suggesting the stock is currently 236% overvalued against the $8.02 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$25M
Cash & equivalents
$59M
Total debt
$2.8B
Shares outstanding
139M