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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$13.24
Intrinsic $17.65 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Aramark (ARMK) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 9.5% for years 1–5 and 4.8% for years 6–10, anchored to 9.5% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $393M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $17.65 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $13.24.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$393M
Cash & equivalents
$476M
Total debt
$6.5B
Shares outstanding
266M