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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.
Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.
Company Overview Archer-Daniels-Midland Company and its subsidiaries (the "Company" or "ADM") unlocks the power of nature to enrich the quality of life. The Company is an essential global agricultural supply chain manager and processor, providing food security by connecting local needs with global capabilities.
$81.29
+$0.84 (+1.04%)
EOD Aug 17, 2026
Operating margin is thin at 1.47%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.
Revenue declined 6.2% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.
Even for strong businesses, today's 22x P/E means the stock needs to keep delivering. There's no margin of safety if growth disappoints.
22.2x earnings, 23.5x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$82.10B
▼ -6.2% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$1.77B
▼ -40.1% YoY
Op. Margin
2.00%
▼ -0.6pp YoY
ROIC
4.06%
▼ -0.9pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$1.68B
▲ +242.6% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$2.79B
▲ +95.4% YoY
Net Debt
$8.28B
Cash & Equiv.
$1.06B
5Y CAGR: +4.5%
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SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 4 Aug 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 5 Aug 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, last close as of 17 Aug 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.
At a P/E of 22.2 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 23.5, Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $42.84 per share, so at $81.29 the stock looks overvalued (47.3% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Archer-Daniels-Midland scores 33/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 2.5%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $42.84 per share for ADM, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $32.13. At today's $81.29, that puts the stock about 47.3% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Archer-Daniels-Midland scores 33 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 2.0% operating margin and a 4.1% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, Archer-Daniels-Midland pays a regular dividend of about $2.07 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 2.5% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 56.6% of earnings, so the dividend is well covered. Archer-Daniels-Midland has grown the dividend at roughly 4.3% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For ADM's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. ADM currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 33/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 2.5%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.