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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. logo

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO

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Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$16.55B
EPS$1.60
P/E12.60
P/FCF17.13
EV/EBITDA7.50
FCF Yield5.8%
Div. Yield3.25%
Net Debt/FCF-1.7x
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. intrinsic value
52-Week Range
$18.71$25.88

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$6.97B

▲ +15.6% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$1.30B

▲ +7.5% YoY

Op. Margin

21.49%

▼ -5.3pp YoY

ROIC

8.42%

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$966M

▲ +13.3% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$1.71B

▲ +9.3% YoY

Net Debt

-$1.68B

Net Cash Position

Cash & Equiv.

$3.67B

5Y CAGR: +12.6%

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Held by ETFs

ZTO is in 17 US ETFs. The largest of them, with ZTO's weight in each:

ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) in four numbers

Fair value (earnings)
$34.52
Price $20.16 is 42% below it.
Intrinsic Value
Quality score
76/100
Best check: revenue growth, 11.0%. Weakest: margin trend, -0.5pp.
Quality
Dividend (TTM)
$0.65
3.25% yield, not raised in the latest year.
Dividends
P/E
12.60
Price to free cash flow 17.13.
Financials

Questions about ZTO Express (Cayman)

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) overvalued?

At $20.16, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s price is 42% below the $34.52 a share fair value that Intrinsiqq's calculator gets from its earnings. It trades at 12.60 times earnings and 17.13 times free cash flow. The growth behind that figure is yours to set on the Intrinsic Value tab. See how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

What is ZTO Express (Cayman)'s fair value?

Intrinsiqq's calculator puts ZTO Express (Cayman)'s fair value at $34.52 a share. It grows earnings per share 15% a year for 5 years, applies an exit P/E of 15.4, and works back at a 10% yearly return. A 25% margin of safety gives a buy-below price of $25.89. Every input can be changed on the Intrinsic Value tab.

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) a high-quality business?

ZTO Express (Cayman) scores 76 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, which makes it a solid business on these measures. The score blends 8 checks computed from SEC filings. Its best check is revenue growth at 11.0%, and its weakest is margin trend at -0.5pp. The Quality tab shows every check against its target.

Does ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) pay a dividend, and how much?

Yes. ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) pays a dividend: $0.65 per share over the last twelve months, a dividend yield of 3.25% at the latest close. Its dividend per share has grown at 15.6% a year over the last 5 years. The payout takes about 41.4% of earnings. The Dividends tab has the full payment history and the safety score.

Source: 10-K filed 17 Apr 2026 (period ending 31 Dec 2025), SEC. Price: last close 30 Oct 2026. How this is calculated. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically. Analysis, not investment advice.

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in ZTO's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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