Choose a model
Each card values Tri Pointe Homes a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Tri Pointe Homes on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.
Years to project
Growth of revenue per share
Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/S
Starts at its industry's median P/S
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's revenue per share
Last twelve months
$31M
Revenue in 2031
Grows 9.3% a year for 5 years
$48M
Price in 2031
$48M × 0.7 P/S
$33M
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$21M
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$21M
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$16M
Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
$21M
Expected return
Set a buy price
Future price, 2031
$33M
Buy below
$16M
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Tri Pointe Homes's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for TPH; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Tri Pointe Homes's (TPH) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Tri Pointe Homes's fair value is about $21M a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of $31M grows about 9.3% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 0.7 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
What growth does the Tri Pointe Homes valuation assume?+
Revenue per share grows about 9.3% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its industry's median.
What is a good margin of safety for Tri Pointe Homes?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $16M. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
SourceFair value computed from the 10-Q filed 30 Jul 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 12 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.
Fiscal year ends Dec.
Peers
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Held by ETFs
TPH is in 1 US ETF. The largest of them, with TPH's weight in each:
Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in TPH's SEC filings or
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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