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Sinclair, Inc. ( the Company or Sinclair ), a Maryland corporation formed in 2022, is the parent company of Sinclair Broadcast Group, LLC ( SBG ), a Maryland limited liability company, which formed from the conversion of Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. ( Old Sinclair ), a Maryland corporation founded in 1986, to a Maryland limited liability company in 2023. Sinclair is a diversified media compan…
$14.06
+$0.24 (+1.74%)
Live · 07:53 PM
Operating margin is thin at 5.46%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.
Revenue declined 10.7% YoY. Margins deteriorated 10.1pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.
ROIC dropped from 9.93% to 2.77%, capital efficiency is deteriorating. Net debt of $3.67B represents 32.0x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.
14.5x earnings, 6.5x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$3.20B
▼ -10.7% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$64M
▼ -136.1% YoY
Op. Margin
5.81%
▼ -10.1pp YoY
ROIC
3.07%
▼ -7.2pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$154M
▲ +721.4% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$227M
▲ +92.9% YoY
Net Debt
$3.67B
Cash & Equiv.
$844M
3Y CAGR: -6.9%
3Y CAGR: -45.1%
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At a P/E of 14.5 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 6.5, Sinclair (SBGI) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $-14.14 per share, so at $14.06 the stock looks overvalued (200.6% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Sinclair scores 30/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 7.0%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $-14.14 per share for SBGI, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $-10.60. At today's $14.06, that puts the stock about 200.6% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Sinclair scores 30 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 5.8% operating margin and a 3.1% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, Sinclair pays a regular dividend of about $0.99 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 7.0% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 109.4% of earnings, so the dividend is stretched at this level. Sinclair has grown the dividend at roughly 3.6% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For SBGI's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. SBGI currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 30/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 7.0%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.