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Nexstar Media Group Inc. logoNexstar Media Group Inc.NXST
$168.21+2.05%
Nexstar Media Group Inc. logo

Nexstar Media Group Inc.

NXST

$168.21

+$3.38 (+2.05%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthDecliningCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationNot cheap
What stands out

17.15% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 8.81%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue declined 8.5% YoY. Margins deteriorated 6.3pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.

What deserves caution

At 32x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. Free cash flow declined 33% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened.

Valuation context

31.9x earnings, 7.0x FCF. Not cheap, the quality is already reflected in the price. Upside from here requires either margin expansion or growth re-acceleration, not just continuation.

Price History

-13.3%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$5.18B
EPS$5.27
P/E31.92
P/FCF6.97
EV/EBITDA12.27
FCF Yield14.3%
Div. Yield4.36%
Net Debt/FCF16.0x
52-Week Range
$154.70$253.64

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$5.88B

▼ -8.5% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$188M

▼ -84.9% YoY

Op. Margin

17.75%

▼ -6.3pp YoY

ROIC

8.57%

▼ -1.9pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$743M

▼ -32.8% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$894M

▼ -28.7% YoY

Net Debt

$11.87B

Cash & Equiv.

$218M

5Y CAGR: +1.9%

5Y CAGR: -6.5%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 7 Aug 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 8 Aug 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, live as of 22 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Nexstar Media Group (NXST) overvalued?

At a P/E of 31.9 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 7.0, Nexstar Media Group (NXST) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $32.64 per share, so at $168.21 the stock looks overvalued (80.6% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Nexstar Media Group scores 41/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 4.4%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Nexstar Media Group's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $32.64 per share for NXST, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $24.48. At today's $168.21, that puts the stock about 80.6% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Nexstar Media Group a high-quality business?+

Nexstar Media Group scores 41 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 17.8% operating margin and a 8.6% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Does Nexstar Media Group (NXST) pay a dividend, and how much?+

Yes, Nexstar Media Group pays a regular dividend of about $7.31 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 4.4% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 120.2% of earnings, so the dividend is stretched at this level. Nexstar Media Group has grown the dividend at roughly 17.6% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For NXST's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.

Is Nexstar Media Group a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. NXST currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 41/100 on quality (mixed). It also yields about 4.4%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Television Broadcasting Stations

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in NXST's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.