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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$340.94
Intrinsic $454.58 · 25% MOS
Current price: $590.09
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for RBC Bearings INC (RBC) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 17.9% for years 1–5 and 9.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 17.9% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $343M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $454.58 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $340.94, suggesting the stock is currently 42% overvalued against the $590.09 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$343M
Cash & equivalents
$57M
Total debt
$991M
Shares outstanding
32M