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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$200.07
Intrinsic $266.76 · 25% MOS
Current price: $290.22
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Nordson Corp (NDSN) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 7.1% for years 1–5 and 3.6% for years 6–10, anchored to 7.1% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $714M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $266.76 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $200.07, suggesting the stock is currently 31% overvalued against the $290.22 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$714M
Cash & equivalents
$102M
Total debt
$2.0B
Shares outstanding
56M