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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$185.71
Intrinsic $247.61 · 25% MOS
Current price: $78.35
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Phinia Inc. (PHIN) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 189.7% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $204M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $247.61 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $185.71, suggesting the stock is currently 137% undervalued against the $78.35 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$204M
Cash & equivalents
$328M
Total debt
$1.0B
Shares outstanding
39M