Intrinsiqq
⚠ Showing the latest available close (Oct 21, 2026, 2 days ago). Our price provider hasn't published a newer EOD for this ticker yet. Price-dependent metrics (P/E, P/FCF, yield) may not reflect current market conditions.
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. logoMadison Square Garden Sports Corp.MSGS
$412.37-0.25%
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. logo

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.

MSGS

$412.37

-$1.04 (-0.25%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityThin marginsGrowthSteady growthCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationRichly valued
What stands out

Operating margin is thin at 2.50%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.

What's changing

Revenue grew 11.0%, still solid. Free cash flow declined 30% despite revenue growth, conversion is weakening.

What deserves caution

At 1289x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. Free cash flow declined 30% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened.

Valuation context

1288.7x earnings, 163.3x FCF. The market is pricing in years of above-average growth. If that thesis breaks, downside from multiple compression alone could be 30%+. This is a stock where you're paying for the future, not the present.

Price History

+83.8%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$10.00B
EPS$0.32
P/E1288.66
P/FCF163.26
EV/EBITDA343.14
FCF Yield0.6%
Div. Yield0.00%
Net Debt/FCF16.3x
52-Week Range
$212.91$414.12

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$1.15B

▲ +11.0% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$8M

▲ +134.6% YoY

Op. Margin

2.50%

▲ +1.1pp YoY

ROIC

1.59%

▲ +0.7pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$61M

▼ -30.4% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$63M

▼ -31.6% YoY

Net Debt

$996M

Cash & Equiv.

$165M

5Y CAGR: +22.6%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 13 Aug 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 14 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 21 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Jun. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) overvalued?

At a P/E of 1,288.7 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 163.3, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $2.71 per share, so at $412.37 the stock looks overvalued (99.3% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Madison Square Garden Sports scores 27/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Madison Square Garden Sports's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $2.71 per share for MSGS, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $2.03. At today's $412.37, that puts the stock about 99.3% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Madison Square Garden Sports a high-quality business?+

Madison Square Garden Sports scores 27 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 2.5% operating margin and a 1.6% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Madison Square Garden Sports a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. MSGS currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 27/100 on quality (lower-quality). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in MSGS's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.

Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.