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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$55.95
Intrinsic $74.59 · 25% MOS
Current price: $89.55
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 13.3% for years 1–5 and 6.7% for years 6–10, anchored to 13.3% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $2.1B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $74.59 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $55.95, suggesting the stock is currently 38% overvalued against the $89.55 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$2.1B
Cash & equivalents
$3.0B
Total debt
$0
Shares outstanding
988M