Choose a model
Each card values Mfa Financial a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Mfa Financial on ffo: funds from operations (net income plus depreciation), the cash a property trust's buildings produce, priced at a normal multiple.
Years to project
Growth of FFO per share
FFO per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/FFO
Starts at its own median P/FFO over five years
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's FFO per share
Last twelve months
$1.48
FFO in 2031
Grows 0.0% a year for 5 years
$1.48
Price in 2031
$1.48 × 6.0 P/FFO
$8.87
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$5.51
Plus dividends
$7.20 paid over 5 years, discounted the same way
+ $5.46
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$10.97
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$8.22
Paying $6.66 instead gives 19.3% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
$10.97
Expected return
19.3% a year
Future price, 2031
$8.87
Buy below
$8.22
Price 39% below fair valuePrice $6.66, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Mfa Financial (MFA) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Mfa Financial's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for MFA; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Mfa Financial's (MFA) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Mfa Financial's fair value is about $10.97 a share, based on its FFO per share. That assumes FFO per share of $1.48 grows about 0.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 6.0 times FFO, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: earnings $14.56, free cash flow $46.83, book value $12.00, dividends $19.56. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Mfa Financial overvalued?+
At $6.66, the price is 39% below that fair value of $10.97, and buying at today's price would return about 19.3% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Mfa Financial valuation assume?+
FFO per share grows about 0.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its own median over five years.
What is a good margin of safety for Mfa Financial?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $8.22. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
SourceFair value computed from the 10-Q filed 31 Jul 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 3 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, last close as of 30 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec.
Peers
Real Estate Investment Trusts · Pick stocks to compare with MFA
Held by ETFs
MFA is in 47 US ETFs. The largest of them, with MFA's weight in each:
Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETFVBR0.02%of the fund
iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETFIWO0.01%of the fund
Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in MFA's SEC filings or
Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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