DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$19.10
Intrinsic $25.46 · 25% MOS
Current price: $34.20
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for InvenTrust Properties Corp. (IVT) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 10.4% for years 1–5 and 5.2% for years 6–10, anchored to 10.4% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from the 3-year average of positive free cash flow ($102M) — TTM FCF was negative, this produces an intrinsic value of $25.46 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $19.10, suggesting the stock is currently 44% overvalued against the $34.20 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
TTM FCF is negative ($0). Projecting from a negative base produces nonsensical results, so this model uses the 3-year average of positive FCF ($102M) as the base instead. Treat this valuation as a rough estimate — it assumes a return to historical profitability.
Model inputs
Free Cash Flow (3yr avg)
$102M
Cash & equivalents
$34M
Total debt
$965M
Shares outstanding
78M