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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.
Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.
Throughout this report "Mattel" refers to Mattel, Inc. and/or one or more of its subsidiaries. Mattel is a leading global play and family entertainment company and owner of one of the most iconic brand portfolios in the world.
$14.59
$0.36 (-2.41%)
EOD Sep 1, 2026
10.22% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 9.26%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.
Revenue declined 0.6% YoY. Margins deteriorated 2.7pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.
Free cash flow declined 27% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened. ROIC dropped from 12.05% to 9.26%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.
10.9x earnings, 8.2x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$5.49B
▼ -0.6% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$427M
▼ -26.6% YoY
Op. Margin
7.82%
▼ -2.7pp YoY
ROIC
7.37%
▼ -2.8pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$513M
▼ -27.5% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$666M
▼ -25.9% YoY
Net Debt
$2.22B
Cash & Equiv.
$524M
5Y CAGR: +3.1%
5Y CAGR: +16.4%
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SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 7 Aug 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, last close as of 1 Sept 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.
At a P/E of 10.9 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 8.2, Mattel (MAT) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $28.52 per share, so at $14.59 the stock looks undervalued (95.5% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Mattel scores 49/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $28.52 per share for MAT, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $21.39. At today's $14.59, that puts the stock about 95.5% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Mattel scores 49 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 7.8% operating margin and a 7.4% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. MAT currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 49/100 on quality (mixed). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.