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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$488.39
Intrinsic $651.19 · 25% MOS
Current price: $512.40
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Hubbell Inc (HUBB) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 16.5% for years 1–5 and 8.3% for years 6–10, anchored to 16.5% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $909M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $651.19 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $488.39, suggesting the stock is currently 5% overvalued against the $512.40 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$909M
Cash & equivalents
$517M
Total debt
$3.3B
Shares outstanding
53M