Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Greenfire Resources Ltd. is an oil sands producer focused on the exploration, development, and operation of thermal oil assets in the Athabasca region of Alberta, Canada. The company’s core business centers on in situ oil sands production using steam-assisted gravity drainage technology, a method designed to recover bitumen from underground reservoirs. Its principal operations include the Hangingstone Facilities, which comprise the Expansion Asset and the Demo Asset, both located south of Fort McMurray. Greenfire Resources Ltd. operates as a specialized energy company within the Canadian oil and gas sector, with activities spanning thermal oil production, infrastructure, and pipeline support tied to its oil sands operations. Headquartered in Calgary, the company plays a focused role in supplying long-life, low-decline oil sands production from one of Canada’s key energy-producing regions.
$6.86
+$0.19 (+2.85%)
Price from 2 days ago
Operating margin is thin at 9.83%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.
Revenue declined 26.7% YoY. Margins deteriorated 7.7pp alongside, both lines moving the wrong way.
Free cash flow declined 57% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened. ROIC dropped from 12.83% to 4.36%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.
Price History
Valuation & Multiples
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
C$602M
▼ -26.7% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
-C$37M
▼ -60.9% YoY
Op. Margin
12.92%
▼ -7.7pp YoY
ROIC
4.36%
▼ -8.5pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
-C$60M
▼ -56.8% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
C$121M
▼ -1.2% YoY
Net Debt
-C$36M
Net Cash Position
Cash & Equiv.
C$42M
3Y CAGR: -15.5%
3Y CAGR: -41.8%
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Is Greenfire Resources (GFR) overvalued?
Greenfire Resources (GFR)'s valuation is best read against its own history, its peers, and the growth its price implies. A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Greenfire Resources scores 10/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
Is Greenfire Resources a high-quality business?+
Greenfire Resources scores 10 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 6 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 12.9% operating margin and a 4.4% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Is Greenfire Resources a good stock to buy right now?+
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. you should weigh GFR's valuation and scores 10/100 on quality (lower-quality). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.
Related stocks: Oil & Gas E&P
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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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