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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$0.79
Intrinsic $1.05 · 25% MOS
Current price: $50.08
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $105M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $1.05 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $0.79, suggesting the stock is currently 98% overvalued against the $50.08 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$105M
Cash & equivalents
$294M
Total debt
$2.0B
Shares outstanding
109M