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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$53.41
Intrinsic $71.21 · 25% MOS
Current price: $100.70
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 3.9% for years 1–5 and 2.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 3.9% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.2B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $71.21 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $53.41, suggesting the stock is currently 47% overvalued against the $100.70 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.2B
Cash & equivalents
$1.5B
Total debt
$12.6B
Shares outstanding
177M