DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$36.46
Intrinsic $48.61 · 25% MOS
Current price: $8.55
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 203.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $354M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $48.61 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $36.46, suggesting the stock is currently 326% undervalued against the $8.55 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$354M
Cash & equivalents
$362M
Total debt
$3.9B
Shares outstanding
295M