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Fold Holdings, Inc. Intrinsic Value

FLD

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Choose a model

Each card values Fold Holdings a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.

Set your assumptions

Fold Holdings on book value: book value per share (equity) grows with retained profit and is priced at a normal price-to-book. For banks and insurers.

Years to project

Growth of book value per share

Book value per share; not enough history; starts at 5%

Exit P/B

Starts at its own median P/B over five years

Your desired return

Margin of safety

More

Your buy price

The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price

How it's worked out

  1. Today's book value per share

    Last twelve months

    $0.57

  2. Book value in 2031

    Grows 5.0% a year for 5 years

    $0.72

  3. Price in 2031

    $0.72 × 1.2 P/B

    $0.87

  4. Worth today

    ÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out

    $0.54

  5. Fair value

    The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year

    $0.54

  6. Buy below

    Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety

    $0.40

Paying $0.54 instead gives 10.0% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.

Outcome

What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.

Fair value

$0.54

Expected return

10.0% a year

Future price, 2031

$0.87

Buy below

$0.40

Price at fair valuePrice $0.54, at your 10% return

Projection

Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.

Fold Holdings (FLD) intrinsic value and fair value

The calculator grows one of Fold Holdings's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for FLD; this is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Fold Holdings's (FLD) intrinsic value?+

With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Fold Holdings's fair value is about $0.54 a share, based on its book value per share. That assumes book value per share of $0.57 grows about 5.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 1.2 times book value, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: revenue $1.10. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.

Is Fold Holdings overvalued?+

At $0.54, the price is at that fair value of $0.54, and buying at today's price would return about 10.0% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

What growth does the Fold Holdings valuation assume?+

Book value per share grows about 5.0% a year to start, a default, because there is too little history. The exit multiple starts at its own median over five years.

What is a good margin of safety for Fold Holdings?+

A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $0.40. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.

How the market compares: US profitability statistics

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Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in FLD's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.

Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.