Intrinsiqq
Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR logoDingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADRDDL
$2.02-0.98%
Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR logo

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR

DDL

$2.02

-$0.02 (-0.98%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilityUnprofitableGrowthSteady growthCash FlowThin conversionValuationAttractively priced
What stands out

Operating margin is thin at 0.54%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.

What's changing

Revenue grew 5.6%, steady but not accelerating. Free cash flow declined 57% despite revenue growth, conversion is weakening.

What deserves caution

Free cash flow declined 57% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened.

Valuation context

5.3x earnings, 6.6x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.

Price History

+6.9%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap¥2.92B
EPS¥2.55
P/E5.29
P/FCF6.57
EV/EBITDA-19.20
FCF Yield15.2%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF-3.5x
52-Week Range
$1.67$3.20

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

¥13.12B

▲ +5.6% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

¥554M

▼ -23.9% YoY

Op. Margin

-0.55%

▼ -0.4pp YoY

ROIC

3.35%

▼ -1.2pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

¥444M

▼ -56.9% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

¥622M

▼ -42.0% YoY

Net Debt

-¥1.54B

Net Cash Position

Cash & Equiv.

¥3.98B

3Y CAGR: +0.2%

Continue Research

Is Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR (DDL) overvalued?

At a P/E of 5.3 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 6.6, Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR (DDL) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about CNY 42.67 per share, so at CNY 2.02 the stock looks undervalued (2,012.4% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR scores 55/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about CNY 42.67 per share for DDL, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around CNY 32.00. At today's CNY 2.02, that puts the stock about 2,012.4% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR a high-quality business?+

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR scores 55 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a -0.5% operating margin and a 3.4% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. Sponsored ADR a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. DDL currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 55/100 on quality (mixed). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.