Company Overview Commvault Systems, Inc. aims to provide its customers cyber resiliency by protecting and recovering their data and cloud-native applications in a world of increasing cyber threats and attacks, including ransomware. We provide products and services across many types of environments, including on-premises, hybrid and multi-cloud.
$147.81
$1.96 (-1.31%)
EOD Jul 17, 2026
Operating margin is thin at 6.25%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.
Revenue grew 18.9%, still solid.
At 94x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. ROIC dropped from 21.97% to 8.33%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.
93.6x earnings, 27.8x FCF. The market is pricing in years of above-average growth. If that thesis breaks, downside from multiple compression alone could be 30%+. This is a stock where you're paying for the future, not the present.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$1.18B
▲ +18.9% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$71M
▼ -7.2% YoY
Op. Margin
6.25%
▼ -1.2pp YoY
ROIC
8.33%
▼ -13.6pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$237M
▲ +16.5% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$245M
▲ +18.0% YoY
Net Debt
$18M
Cash & Equiv.
$900M
5Y CAGR: +10.3%
5Y CAGR: +15.4%
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At a P/E of 93.6 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 27.8, Commvault Systems (CVLT) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $120.46 per share, so at $147.81 the stock looks overvalued (18.5% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Commvault Systems scores 80/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a high-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $120.46 per share for CVLT, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $90.34. At today's $147.81, that puts the stock about 18.5% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Commvault Systems scores 80 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a high-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 6.3% operating margin and a 8.3% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. CVLT currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 80/100 on quality (high-quality). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.