/
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$221.28
Intrinsic $295.04 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 22.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $4.5B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $295.04 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $221.28.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$4.5B
Cash & equivalents
$485M
Total debt
$3.7B
Shares outstanding
763M