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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$155.59
Intrinsic $207.45 · 25% MOS
Current price: $18.56
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Permian Resources Corp (PR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 46.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $3.5B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $207.45 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $155.59, suggesting the stock is currently 738% undervalued against the $18.56 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$3.5B
Cash & equivalents
$171M
Total debt
$3.7B
Shares outstanding
837M