Intrinsiqq
Chagee Holdings Ltd. American logoChagee Holdings Ltd. AmericanCHA
$12.30-1.13%
Chagee Holdings Ltd. American logo

Chagee Holdings Ltd. American

CHA

$12.30

-$0.14 (-1.13%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthModeratingCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationAttractively priced
What stands out

10.44% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 11.16%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue grew 4.0%, steady but not accelerating. Margins contracted 12.8pp, which offsets some of the top-line progress.

What deserves caution

Free cash flow declined 54% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened. ROIC dropped from 56.32% to 11.16%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.

Valuation context

11.9x earnings, 20.6x FCF. The multiple is below average. Either the market is pricing in deterioration you should investigate, or there's genuine value here.

Price History

-23.1%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap¥15.88B
EPS¥6.94
P/E11.85
P/FCF20.55
EV/EBITDA6.07
FCF Yield4.9%
Div. Yield7.89%
Net Debt/FCF-8.7x
52-Week Range
$9.16$17.55

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

¥13.14B

▲ +4.0% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

¥1.34B

▼ -52.8% YoY

Op. Margin

11.34%

▼ -12.8pp YoY

ROIC

11.16%

▼ -45.2pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

¥772M

▼ -54.1% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

¥1.22B

▼ -36.8% YoY

Net Debt

-¥6.69B

Net Cash Position

Cash & Equiv.

¥7.97B

Continue Research

Is Chagee Holdings Ltd. American (CHA) overvalued?

At a P/E of 11.9 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 20.6, Chagee Holdings Ltd. American (CHA) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about CNY 104.01 per share, so at CNY 12.30 the stock looks undervalued (745.6% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Chagee Holdings Ltd. American scores 45/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 7.9%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Chagee Holdings Ltd. American's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about CNY 104.01 per share for CHA, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around CNY 78.00. At today's CNY 12.30, that puts the stock about 745.6% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Chagee Holdings Ltd. American a high-quality business?+

Chagee Holdings Ltd. American scores 45 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 11.3% operating margin and a 11.2% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Does Chagee Holdings Ltd. American (CHA) pay a dividend, and how much?+

Yes, Chagee Holdings Ltd. American pays a regular dividend of about CNY 6.49 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 7.9% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 93.2% of earnings, so the dividend is stretched at this level. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For CHA's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.

Is Chagee Holdings Ltd. American a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. CHA currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 45/100 on quality (mixed). It also yields about 7.9%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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