DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$13.25
Intrinsic $17.67 · 25% MOS
Current price: $9.07
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Bellring Brands, Inc. (BRBR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $186M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $17.67 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $13.25, suggesting the stock is currently 46% undervalued against the $9.07 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$186M
Cash & equivalents
$33M
Total debt
$1.2B
Shares outstanding
118M