Intrinsiqq
YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR logoYPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADRYPF
$49.14-2.44%
YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR logo

YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR

YPF

$49.14

-$1.23 (-2.44%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthDecliningCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationNot cheap
What stands out

Operating margin is thin at 8.91%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.

What's changing

Revenue declined 4.4% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.

What deserves caution

At 25x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. Free cash flow declined 125% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened.

Valuation context

25.5x earnings, 7.9x FCF. Not cheap, the quality is already reflected in the price. Upside from here requires either margin expansion or growth re-acceleration, not just continuation.

Price History

+98.5%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$19.04B
EPS$1.93
P/E25.46
P/FCF7.88
EV/EBITDA4.18
FCF Yield12.7%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF4.1x
52-Week Range
$26.89$57.61

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$20.70B

▼ -4.4% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$767M

▼ -133.4% YoY

Op. Margin

17.87%

▼ -1.5pp YoY

ROIC

3.72%

▼ -6.3pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$2.42B

▼ -124.7% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$7.20B

▲ +30.6% YoY

Net Debt

$9.96B

Cash & Equiv.

$1.20B

3Y CAGR: +913.9%

Continue Research

Is YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR (YPF) overvalued?

At a P/E of 25.5 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 7.9, YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR (YPF) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $288.96 per share, so at $49.14 the stock looks undervalued (488.0% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR scores 74/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $288.96 per share for YPF, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $216.72. At today's $49.14, that puts the stock about 488.0% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR a high-quality business?+

YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR scores 74 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 17.9% operating margin and a 3.7% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is YPF Sociedad Anónima Sponsored ADR a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. YPF currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 74/100 on quality (solid). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.

Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.