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Twenty One Capital, Inc. Intrinsic Value

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Choose a model

Each card values Twenty One Capital a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.

Set your assumptions

Twenty One Capital on book value: book value per share (equity) grows with retained profit and is priced at a normal price-to-book. For banks and insurers.

Years to project

Growth of book value per share

Book value per share; not enough history; starts at 5%

Exit P/B

No history to start from; set your own

Your desired return

Margin of safety

More

Your buy price

The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price

How it's worked out

  1. Today's book value per share

    Last twelve months

    $6.28

  2. Book value in 2031

    Grows 5.0% a year for 5 years

    $8.02

  3. Price in 2031

    $8.02 × 1.2 P/B

    $9.62

  4. Worth today

    ÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out

    $5.97

  5. Fair value

    The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year

    $5.97

  6. Buy below

    Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety

    $4.48

Paying $5.83 instead gives 10.5% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.

Outcome

What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.

Fair value

$5.97

Expected return

10.5% a year

Future price, 2031

$9.62

Buy below

$4.48

Price 2% below fair valuePrice $5.83, at your 10% return

Projection

Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.

Twenty One Capital (XXI) intrinsic value and fair value

The calculator grows one of Twenty One Capital's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for XXI; this is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Twenty One Capital's (XXI) intrinsic value?+

With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Twenty One Capital's fair value is about $5.97 a share, based on its book value per share. That assumes book value per share of $6.28 grows about 5.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 1.2 times book value, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.

Is Twenty One Capital overvalued?+

At $5.83, the price is 2% below that fair value of $5.97, and buying at today's price would return about 10.5% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

What growth does the Twenty One Capital valuation assume?+

Book value per share grows about 5.0% a year to start, a default, because there is too little history. The exit multiple starts at a default.

What is a good margin of safety for Twenty One Capital?+

A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $4.48. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.

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XXI is in 5 US ETFs. The largest of them, with XXI's weight in each:

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in XXI's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.