Related stocks: Retail-Variety Stores
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Related stocks: Retail-Variety Stores
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$15.08
Intrinsic $20.10 · 25% MOS
Current price: $117.18
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Walmart Inc. (WMT) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.5% for years 1–5 and 1.3% for years 6–10, anchored to 2.5% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $12.6B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $20.10 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $15.08, suggesting the stock is currently 87% overvalued against the $117.18 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$12.6B
Cash & equivalents
$10.7B
Total debt
$74.2B
Shares outstanding
8.0B