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Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.
Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF values Vipshop Holdings (VIPS) at about CNY 535.45 per share, or CNY 401.59 with a 25% margin of safety. At CNY 15.59 the stock looks undervalued. Every assumption is adjustable below; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage discounted cash flow (DCF) model estimates an intrinsic value of about CNY 535.45 per share for VIPS. It projects recent free cash flow forward at a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate, then discounts those cash flows back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around CNY 401.59. The output moves with the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best read as a range, not a single number. You can change every assumption with the sliders on this tab.
At CNY 15.59, VIPS trades below the base-case intrinsic value of about CNY 535.45, a 3,334.6% discount to that estimate, so on this model it looks undervalued. A DCF is only one lens: a premium can be justified if the business grows faster or is higher quality than the base case assumes, which is exactly what the sliders let you test.
The base case grows VIPS's free cash flow at about 14.2% a year before fading, against roughly 14.2% historical free-cash-flow growth. If the price implies growth well above what the company has actually delivered, the market is paying for optimism; if below, expectations are modest. Adjust the growth assumption on this tab to see what the current price is really betting on.
A margin of safety is the discount to intrinsic value you demand before buying, to protect against being wrong on the inputs. Intrinsiqq applies 25% by default, which turns VIPS's CNY 535.45 intrinsic estimate into a CNY 401.59 entry. Wider margins suit less predictable businesses; you can set your own on this tab. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.