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Vale S.A. is a Brazilian diversified mining company that focuses on the production and export of iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, copper, manganese, and iron alloys. Headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Vale is recognized as one of the world’s largest producers of iron ore and nickel, supplying essential raw materials to the global steel and metals industries. The company operates through key segments including Iron Solutions, which encompasses iron ore, pellets, manganese, other ferrous products, and related logistics services, and Energy Transition Materials, which concentrates on nickel, copper, and associated by-products used in batteries and advanced industrial applications. Vale also has activities that extend into logistics and energy, supporting its core mining operations and enhancing supply chain efficiency. Serving industrial customers across multiple continents, Vale plays a central role in global commodity markets by providing inputs critical to construction, infrastructure, manufacturing, and energy transition technologies.
$14.10
$0.09 (-0.63%)
Live · 05:21 PM
29.54% operating margin is above average. ROIC at 10.47%.
Revenue growth slowed to 0.9%, essentially flat. This is a business that needs a catalyst.
ROIC dropped from 18.67% to 10.47%, capital efficiency is deteriorating. Net debt of $14.23B represents 5.1x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.
24.4x earnings, 19.6x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$39.54B
▲ +0.9% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$2.53B
▼ -66.8% YoY
Op. Margin
29.42%
▼ -0.7pp YoY
ROIC
10.47%
▼ -8.2pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$3.08B
▼ -4.2% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$9.94B
▼ -11.2% YoY
Net Debt
$14.23B
Cash & Equiv.
$7.57B
3Y CAGR: -4.3%
3Y CAGR: -22.6%
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At a P/E of 24.4 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 19.6, Vale (VALE) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $9.14 per share, so at $14.10 the stock looks overvalued (35.2% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Vale scores 38/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 7.2%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $9.14 per share for VALE, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $6.85. At today's $14.10, that puts the stock about 35.2% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Vale scores 38 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 29.4% operating margin and a 10.5% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, Vale pays a regular dividend of about $1.01 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 7.2% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 171.2% of earnings, so the dividend is stretched at this level. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For VALE's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. VALE currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 38/100 on quality (lower-quality). It also yields about 7.2%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.