Related stocks: Auto Manufacturers
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Related stocks: Auto Manufacturers
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
¥-1349.52
Intrinsic ¥-1799.36 · 25% MOS
Current price: ¥17.77
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Toyota Motor Corp (TM) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from ¥179.6B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of ¥-1799.36 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of ¥-1349.52, suggesting the stock is currently 7694% overvalued against the ¥17.77 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
¥179.6B
Cash & equivalents
¥16.64T
Total debt
¥43.21T
Shares outstanding
13.0B