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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$37.66
Intrinsic $50.22 · 25% MOS
Current price: $78.70
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Sysco Corp (SYY) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 4.9% for years 1–5 and 2.5% for years 6–10, anchored to 4.9% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.8B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $50.22 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $37.66, suggesting the stock is currently 52% overvalued against the $78.70 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.8B
Cash & equivalents
$1.9B
Total debt
$15.4B
Shares outstanding
481M