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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$207.51
Intrinsic $276.68 · 25% MOS
Current price: $97.12
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 102.0% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.0B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $276.68 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $207.51, suggesting the stock is currently 114% undervalued against the $97.12 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.0B
Cash & equivalents
$46M
Total debt
$7.9B
Shares outstanding
157M