Intrinsiqq
Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR logoSasol Ltd. Sponsored ADRSSL
$16.19+1.63%
Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR logo

Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR

SSL

$16.19

+$0.26 (+1.63%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthDecliningCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationFairly valued
What stands out

15.23% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 8.51%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue declined 9.5% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.

What deserves caution

ROIC dropped from 11.34% to 8.51%, capital efficiency is deteriorating. Net debt of ZAR 74.01B represents 5.7x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.

Valuation context

21.9x earnings, 13.1x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.

Price History

+203.8%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market CapZAR 169.15B
EPSZAR 12.21
P/E21.89
P/FCF13.12
EV/EBITDA4.68
FCF Yield7.6%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF5.7x
52-Week Range
$5.52$16.34

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

ZAR 249.10B

▼ -9.5% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

ZAR 7.73B

▲ +117.5% YoY

Op. Margin

15.23%

▼ -1.1pp YoY

ROIC

8.51%

▼ -2.8pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

ZAR 12.89B

▲ +3260.5% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

ZAR 38.31B

▲ +28.8% YoY

Net Debt

ZAR 74.01B

Cash & Equiv.

ZAR 46.66B

3Y CAGR: -0.5%

3Y CAGR: -7.5%

Continue Research

Is Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR (SSL) overvalued?

At a P/E of 21.9 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 13.1, Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR (SSL) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about ZAR 236.25 per share, so at ZAR 16.19 the stock looks undervalued (1,359.2% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR scores 32/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a lower-quality business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from company filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about ZAR 236.25 per share for SSL, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around ZAR 177.19. At today's ZAR 16.19, that puts the stock about 1,359.2% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR a high-quality business?+

Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR scores 32 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a lower-quality business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 15.2% operating margin and a 8.5% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from company filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Sasol Ltd. Sponsored ADR a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. SSL currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 32/100 on quality (lower-quality). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Specialty Chemicals

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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.