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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$326.23
Intrinsic $434.97 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 27.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $358M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $434.97 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $326.23.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$358M
Cash & equivalents
$341M
Total debt
$426M
Shares outstanding
41M