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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$301.33
Intrinsic $401.77 · 25% MOS
Current price: $382.73
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Snap-on Inc (SNA) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 3.7% for years 1–5 and 1.9% for years 6–10, anchored to 3.7% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.1B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $401.77 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $301.33, suggesting the stock is currently 21% overvalued against the $382.73 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.1B
Cash & equivalents
$1.8B
Total debt
$1.3B
Shares outstanding
53M