DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$547.42
Intrinsic $729.90 · 25% MOS
Current price: $2184.75
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Sandisk Corp (SNDK) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 8.0% for years 1–5 and 4.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $4.5B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $729.90 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $547.42, suggesting the stock is currently 75% overvalued against the $2184.75 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$4.5B
Cash & equivalents
$3.7B
Total debt
$207M
Shares outstanding
157M