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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$164.81
Intrinsic $219.74 · 25% MOS
Current price: $114.35
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Science Applications International Corp (SAIC) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 4.6% for years 1–5 and 2.3% for years 6–10, anchored to 4.6% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $603M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $219.74 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $164.81, suggesting the stock is currently 44% undervalued against the $114.35 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$603M
Cash & equivalents
$109M
Total debt
$2.7B
Shares outstanding
44M