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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$155.48
Intrinsic $207.30 · 25% MOS
Current price: $494.94
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Caci International Inc (CACI) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.1% for years 1–5 and 1.1% for years 6–10, anchored to 2.1% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $577M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $207.30 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $155.48, suggesting the stock is currently 69% overvalued against the $494.94 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$577M
Cash & equivalents
$158M
Total debt
$5.6B
Shares outstanding
22M